Discussion and analysis of international university rankings and topics related to the quality of higher education. Anyone wishing to contact Richard Holmes without worrying about ending up in comments can go to rjholmes2000@yahoo.com
Friday, May 23, 2025
Wednesday, April 09, 2025
The Decline of Harvard
Published in Substack 08 April 2025
Quite a few stories have come out of the Ivy League about how standards are collapsing. I used to think that this was just the perennial lament of teachers everywhere that today’s students are inferior to those of my day. But the stories are coming faster these days, and they seem to be consonant with declining cognitive skills throughout the West, a general disengagement by students, increasing rates of plagiarism, rejection of science and liberal values, and the ardent embrace of extremist ideologies.
Perhaps the most striking story was when Harvard introduced remedial math courses for some of its students. This resulted from the suspension of requiring the submission of SAT and ACT scores following the COVID-19 outbreak.
I suspect that the problem may go deeper than that, and remedial courses at Harvard and other elite schools may become permanent, although probably presented as enrichment programs or something like that.
But this is all anecdotal. Evidence from global rankings can provide more systematic data, which shows that Harvard is steadily declining relative to international universities and even to its peers in the USA.
Here is a prediction. This year, next year, or maybe the year after, Harvard will cede its position as the top university in the world in the publications metric in the Shanghai Rankings to Zhejiang University in Hangzhou.
The Shanghai Rankings, officially known as the Academic Ranking of World Universities (ARWU), have six indicators: Nobel prizes and Fields Medals for alumni, and faculty, papers in Nature and Science, Highly Cited Researchers, publications in the Science Citation Index Extended and the Social Science Citation Index, and Productivity per Capita, which is the sum of those five scores divided by the number of faculty.
When they began, the Shanghai Rankings placed Harvard in first place overall and for all the indicators except for productivity, where Caltech has always held the lead. However, in 2022, Harvard lost its lead to Princeton for faculty winning the Nobel and Fields awards. The coming loss of supremacy for publications will mean that Harvard will lead in just half of the six indicators.
This is only one sign of Harvard’s decline. Looking at some other rankings, we find a similar story. Back in 2010, when QS started producing independent rankings, Harvard was replaced by Cambridge, which in turn was superseded by MIT, which has held first place ever since. In the THE rankings, Caltech deposed Harvard in 2013 and was overtaken by Oxford in 2017.
I have no great faith in THE or QS, but this is suggestive. Then, we have the more rigorous research-based rankings. In the 2024 Leiden Ranking, published by the Centre for Science and Technology Studies at Leiden University, Zhejiang University took over first place from Harvard for publications, although not – not yet anyway – for publications in the top 10% or 1% of journals. In the SCImago Institutions Ranking, published in Spain, Harvard is now fourth overall, although still the leading university.
But when we look at computer science and engineering rankings, it is clear that Harvard has fallen dramatically in areas crucial to economic growth and scientific research over the last few decades.
Shanghai has Harvard in 10th place for computer science, the National Taiwan University Rankings put it in 11th behind Wisconsin, Georgia Institute of Technology, Texas at Austin, and Carnegie Mellon, SCImago Institutions Rankings 61st, and University Ranking by Academic Performance, published by the Middle East Technical University in Ankara, 35th.
For engineering, the prospect is just as grim. The Taiwan rankings have Harvard 31st, Scimago 42nd, and URAP 71st.
Fine, you might say, but the bottom line is jobs and salaries. Let’s look at the latest Financial Times MBA rankings, where Harvard has plunged to 13th place. A major reason for that was that nearly a quarter of the class of 2024 could not find jobs after graduating. According to Poets & Quants, Harvard’s “placement numbers are below every M7 peer, including Stanford, Wharton, Columbia, Kellogg, and Booth, with only one exception: MIT Sloan which is equal to HBS.”
It seems that Harvard’s problems are entrenched and pervasive. They may have been exacerbated by the pandemic, but their roots go back and go deeper. So what is the cause of this decline? I doubt that the usual villain, underfunding by vicious governments or offended donors, has anything to do with it. However, the announced Trumpian cuts may have an effect in the future.
A plausible hypothesis is that Harvard has drifted away from meritocracy in student admissions and assessment and, more significantly, faculty appointments and promotion.
Perhaps the concept of Harvard’s meritocracy has always been overblown. A few years ago, I was researching early American history and came across a reference to a prominent Massachusetts landowner who had graduated first in his class at Harvard. I was baffled because I thought I should have heard of somebody that brilliant. But it turned out that Harvard before the Revolution ranked students according to their perceived social status, a practice that ended with Independence, after which they were ranked alphabetically. The idea of sorting students academically seems to have become widespread only in the twentieth century.
Even after Harvard supposedly embraced meritocracy by introducing the SAT, the GRE, and other tests and linking tenure to publications and citations, it still included large numbers of legacies, athletes, persons of interest to the dean, and affirmative action.
It seems that Harvard is returning to its earlier model of subordinating academic performance to character, athletic ability, conformism, and membership of favored groups. It has appointed a president who is almost certainly the only Harvard professor in the humanities and social sciences not to have written a book. It has admitted students who are incapable or unwilling to do the academic work that elite universities used to require. And its global reputation is slowly eroding.
Friday, April 04, 2025
Substack
I will be sending posts over to Substack. Here is the link to the Substack version of the previous post.
Thursday, April 03, 2025
The Decline of American Universities: The View From Leiden, Ankara and Madrid
There has been a lot of talk recently about the crisis or crises of American universities. Certainly, if we look at the deteriorating
financial situation, the thuggish behavior of demonstrators at Ivy League schools or big state universities,
scandals about admissions, or fraudulent research then, yes, American universities
do seem to be in a very bad way.
However, financial problems, violent extremism, corruption, and research fraud can be found almost everywhere. Is there a way to compare large numbers of
institutions across international frontiers? There is no perfect mode of assessment,
but global rankings can tell us quite a bit about the health or sickness of
higher education and research.
When Americans think about university rankings, it is usually America’s Best Colleges published for more than four decades by US News (USN) that comes to mind. In the rest of the world, global rankings are more
significant. The leader in public approval, if we mean governments, university leaders, and the media, is clearly the Times Higher Education (THE) World University Rankings. These rankings are characterised by bizarrely implausible
results, sometimes dismissed as outliers or quirky statistics. In the last few years
– sorry to keep repeating this -- we have seen Anglia Ruskin University and Babol
Noshirvani University of Technology leading the world for research impact,
Macau University of Science and Technology and the University of Macau
superstars for internationalisation, Anadolu University and Makerere University
in the global top ten for knowledge transfer. No matter, as long as the
composite top fifty scores look reasonable from a traditional perspective and
the usual heroes, Harvard, MIT, Oxford, are at the top or not too far away.
QS, another British company, was once THE’s data supplier but has pursued an independent path since 2010. Its rankings are more sensible than THE's, but it also seems to have an undue regard for the old Western
elite. In its recent world subject rankings, Harvard was first in the world for
all five broad subjects except Engineering and Technology, where the crown
went to MIT, and Oxford was second in all but one.
These two, along with the Shanghai Rankings by virtue of
their age, and occasionally the US News Best Global Universities,
because of the fame of their national rankings, constitute the NBA of the
ranking world. They are cited endlessly by the global media and provide lists
for the appointment of external examiners and editorial boards and for
recruitment, promotion, and admissions and even data for the immigration
policies of the UK, Hong Kong, and the Netherlands.
However, there are other rankings based on publicly accessible data, transparent methodologies, and consistent procedures. They are largely ignored by those with power and influence, but they tell a coherent and factual story. They are published by universities or research centers with limited budgets and small but well-qualified research
teams.
I will take three: Leiden Ranking, produced by the Centre for
Science and Technology Studies (CWTS) at Leiden University, the Netherlands, University
Ranking by Academic Performance (URAP) by the Informatics Institute at the Middle
East Technical University in Ankara, and the SCImago Institutions Rankings (SIR)
published by the SCImago Lab in Spain, which has links with the Spanish
National Research Council and Spanish universities.
Leiden Ranking
Let’s start by taking a look at Leiden Ranking. The
publishers decline to construct any composite or combined ranking, which limits its popular appeal. The default metric,
which appears when you land on the list page, is just the number of articles
and reviews in core journals in the Web of Science database. Back in 2006-2009, Harvard was in first place here, and other US universities filled up the upper
levels of the ranking. The University of Michigan was third, and the University
of California Los Angeles (UCLA) was fifth. Chinese universities were lagging
behind. Zhejiang University in Hangzhou was 16th, and Tsinghua
University in Beijing 32nd.
Fast forward to publications between 2019 and 2022, and
Zhejiang has overtaken Harvard and pushed it into second place. The top twenty
now includes several Chinese universities, some now world-famous, but others, such as Central South University or Jilin University, scarcely known in the
West.
Much of this decline is due to China's advance at the expense of US schools, but that is not the whole story. UCLA has now fallen
behind Toronto, São Paulo, Seoul National University, Oxford, University College
London, Melbourne, Tokyo, and Copenhagen.
You could say that is just quantity, not quality, and maybe we should be looking at high-impact publications. In that case, we should look at
publications in the top 10% of journals, where Zhejiang is still ahead of Harvard.
It is only when we reach the top 1% of journals that Harvard still has a lead,
and one wonders how long that will last.
That is just the number of publications. Academics tend to
judge scientific quality by the number of citations that a work receives.
Leiden Ranking no longer ranks universities by citations, perhaps with good
reason, but does provide data in the individual profiles. Here we see Harvard’s
citations per paper score rising from 13.31 in 2006-2009 to 15.71 in 2019-2022, while Zhejiang’s rises from 3.38 to 11.43. So, Harvard is still ahead for citations,
but the gap is closing rapidly and will probably be gone in three or four years.
URAP
Turning to the URAP, which is based on a bundle of research
metrics, Harvard was first in the combined rankings back in 2013-2014, and the best-performing Chinese institution was Peking University, in 51st place. Now, in the recently published 2024-2025 rankings, Harvard is still first, but Peking is now tenth, and Zhejiang and Tsinghua have also entered the top
ten.
Other elite American universities have fallen: Berkeley from
5th to 54th, Yale from 18th to 38th,
Boston University from 58th to 151st, Dartmouth from 333rd
to 481st.
The relative and absolute decline of the American elite is
even clearer if we look at certain key areas. In the ranking for Information
and Computing Sciences, the top ten are all located in Mainland China and
Singapore, with Tsinghua at the top. Harvard is 35th.
Some American universities are doing
much better here than Harvard. MIT, which I suppose will soon be known as the
Tsinghua of the West, is 12th, and Carnegie Mellon is 15th.
In Engineering the top 25 universities are all located in
Mainland China, Hong Kong, or Singapore. The best American school is again MIT
in 37th place, while Harvard languishes in 71st.
SCImago
These rankings are quite distinctive in that they have a
section for Innovation, which comprises metrics related to patents, and for
Societal Factors, which is a mixed bag containing data about altmetrics,
gender, impact on policy, web presence, and the UN Sustainable Development Goals.
It also includes non-university organisations such as hospitals, companies,
non-profits, and government agencies.
When these rankings started in 2009, and before societal factors were included, Harvard was in second place after France's National Scientific Research Center (CNRS). MIT and UCLA were both in the top ten, and the best-performing Chinese university was Tsinghua, in 80th place, while Zhejiang and Peking lagged way behind at 124th and 176th, respectively.
In the latest 2025 rankings, Harvard has slipped to fourth
place behind the Chinese Academy of Sciences, the Chinese Ministry of
Education, and CNRS. Tsinghua, Zhejiang, and Peking are all in the top twenty, and MIT, UCLA, and the North Carolina schools have all fallen.
Looking at Computer Science, the world leader is the Chinese
Academy of Sciences. The best university is Tsinghua, in fourth place. Then
there are some multinational and American companies and more Chinese
universities before arriving at Stanford in the 24th slot. Harvard
is 64th.
In the next post, we will look at the causes of all this.
Tuesday, March 11, 2025
Blockchain Research Ranking
Blockchain,
we are told, is poised to reshape global finance. That may be
premature but it is beginning to look as though it will have a significant
impact. Recent announcements by China and the United States indicate that
blockchain technology will become an important part of international and
national financial systems over the next few years.
In 2023 CoinDesk published a ranking of the best international universities for blockchain. The indicators were Scholarly Impact, Campus Blockchain Offerings, Employment and Industry Outcomes, and Academic Reputation. The rankings were led by Hong Kong Polytechnic University followed by the National University of Singapore and the University of Zurich. If we look at the research, the top three are Sun Yat-sen University, Nanyang Technological University, and Shanghai Jiao Tong University.
Since there has been no new edition of the CoinDesk ranking, the following ranking has been compiled. It consists only of publications in Scopus and Web of Science between 2020 and 2024. Universities have been ranked according to the number of publications in Scopus indexed journals.
Non-academic institutions and departments and colleges that are not linked to an institution have been excluded. Academic institutions with 100 or more publications in Scopus between 2020 and 2024 are included.
The current ranking shows that Mainland China is clearly the leader for blockchain research and that India, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Saudi Arabia have also performed well. Of the top ten universities for Scopus publications, seven are located in Mainland China, one in Hong Kong, one in India, and one in Saudi Arabia. The best American university is the University of Texas at San Antonio, which is in 59th place.
Scopus
rank |
|
Country
|
Scopus Affiliation 2020-2024 |
WOS
2020-2024 affiliation |
1 |
Beijing
University of Posts and Telecommunications |
China |
731 |
45 |
2 |
Chinese
Academy of Sciences |
China |
594 |
66 |
3 |
University
of Electronic Science and Technology of China |
China |
490 |
43 |
4 |
Xidian
University |
China |
458 |
46 |
5 |
SRM
Institute of Science and Technology |
India |
359 |
20 |
6 |
The
Hong Kong Polytechnic University |
Hong
Kong |
350 |
38 |
7 |
Beijing
Institute of Technology |
China |
331 |
33 |
8 |
Beihang
University |
China |
329 |
19 |
9 |
King
Saud University |
KSA |
319 |
54 |
10 |
Tsinghua
University |
China |
315 |
21 |
11 |
University
of Chinese Academy of Sciences |
China |
313 |
23 |
12 |
Vellore
Institute of Technology |
India |
309 |
48 |
13 |
Amity
University |
India |
305 |
-- |
14 |
Sun
Yat-Sen University |
China |
300 |
20 |
15 |
Southeast
University |
China |
290 |
30 |
16 |
Shanghai
Jiao Tong University |
China |
287 |
35 |
17 |
Nanyang
Technological University |
Singapore |
279 |
40 |
18 |
Zhejiang
University |
China |
277 |
24 |
19 |
Lovely
Professional University |
India |
276 |
14 |
20 |
Wuhan
University |
China |
270 |
24 |
21= |
Beijing
Jiaotong University |
China |
262 |
19 |
21= |
Chandigarh
University |
India |
262 |
-- |
23 |
Beijing
University of Technology |
China |
247 |
16 |
24 |
Chitkara
University, Punjab |
India |
242 |
-- |
25 |
Guangzhou
University |
China |
241 |
18 |
26 |
Graphic
Era Deemed to be University |
India |
234 |
-- |
27 |
Huazhong
University of Science and Technology |
China |
223 |
24 |
28 |
K L
Deemed to be University |
India |
220 |
-- |
29 |
Nanjing
University of Post and Telecommunications |
China |
216 |
19 |
30= |
King
Abdulaziz University |
KSA |
211 |
33 |
30= |
Nirma
University, Institute of Technology |
India |
211 |
38 |
32 |
Peking
University |
China |
210 |
-- |
33 |
Nirma
University |
India |
206 |
38 |
34= |
Shenzhen
University |
China |
205 |
29 |
34= |
University
of Petroleum and Energy Studies |
India |
205 |
35 |
36 |
UNSW
Sydney |
Australia |
200 |
42 |
37 |
Khalifa
University of Science and Technology |
UAE |
195 |
19 |
38 |
University
of Technology Sydney |
Australia |
193 |
35 |
39 |
Chongqing
University of Posts and Telecommunications |
China |
192 |
27 |
40 |
Qatar
University |
Qatar |
190 |
24 |
41 |
Northeastern
University |
China |
189 |
15 |
42 |
Symbiosis
International (Deemed University) |
India |
188 |
17 |
43 |
Guilin
University of Electronic Technology |
China |
186 |
13 |
44 |
Deakin
University |
Australia |
184 |
37 |
45 |
Thapar
Institute of Engineering Technology |
India |
181 |
27 |
46 |
Hainan
University |
China |
179 |
10 |
47 |
Xi'an
Jiaotong University |
China |
177 |
25 |
48 |
COMSATS
University Islamabad |
Pakistan |
176 |
23 |
49 |
City
University of Hong Kong |
Hong
Kong |
175 |
18 |
50 |
Tianjin
University |
China |
174 |
13 |
51 |
National
University of Defense Technology China |
China |
173 |
-- |
52 |
Institute
of Information Engineering |
India |
170 |
-- |
53 |
Guangdong
University of Technology |
China |
166 |
23 |
54 |
Uttaranchal
University |
India |
163 |
-- |
55 |
Shandong
University |
China
|
162 |
-- |
56 |
Nanjing
University of Information Science Technology |
China |
161 |
34 |
57 |
Galgotias
University |
India |
160 |
-- |
58 |
Nanjing
University of Aeronautics and Astronautics |
China |
159 |
24 |
59 |
The
University of Texas at San Antonio |
USA |
157 |
27 |
60 |
Saveetha
Institute of Medical and Technical Sciences |
India |
156 |
-- |
61= |
Norges
Teknisk-Naturvitenskapelige Universitet |
Norway |
153 |
-- |
61= |
Bina
Nusantara University |
Indonesia |
153 |
-- |
63 |
University
College London |
UK |
151 |
27 |
64 |
East
China Normal University |
China |
150 |
-- |
65 |
RMIT
University |
Australia |
149 |
24 |
66= |
Qilu
University of Technology |
China |
148 |
10 |
66= |
Harbin
Institute of Technology |
China |
148 |
14 |
68 |
Hunan
University |
China |
145 |
-- |
69= |
Nanjing
University |
China |
143 |
-- |
69= |
Saveetha
School of Engineering |
India |
143 |
-- |
71 |
The
University of Sydney |
Australia |
141 |
16 |
72= |
Old
Dominion University |
USA |
138 |
17 |
72= |
Fudan
University |
China |
138 |
10 |
74= |
University
of Science and Technology of China |
China |
133 |
10 |
74= |
North
China Electric Power University |
China |
133 |
-- |
76 |
Xi'an
Institute of Posts and Telecommunications |
China |
131 |
-- |
77= |
Taif
University |
KSA |
129 |
20 |
77= |
Vellore
Institute of Technology, Chennai |
India |
129 |
28 |
79 |
Queensland
University of Technology |
China |
128 |
14 |
80= |
The
University of Hong Kong |
Hong
Kong SAR |
126 |
10 |
80= |
Nanjing
University of Science and Technology |
China |
126 |
22 |
80= |
University
of Waterloo |
Canada |
126 |
-- |
80= |
Kalinga
Institute of Industrial Technology |
India |
126 |
-- |
84 |
Monash
University |
Australia |
125 |
15 |
85= |
University
College Dublin |
Ireland
|
123 |
20 |
85= |
University
of Science and Technology Beijing |
China |
123 |
10 |
85= |
Chongqing
University |
China |
123 |
19 |
88 |
Hong
Kong University of Science and Technology |
Hong
Kong |
122 |
16 |
89= |
Technische
Universität Berlin |
Berlin |
119 |
-- |
89= |
National
University of Singapore |
Singapore |
119 |
23 |
89= |
Shanghai
University |
China |
119 |
13 |
92 |
Fujian
Normal University |
China |
118 |
10 |
93 |
University
of Sfax |
Tunisia |
117 |
13 |
94= |
Birla
Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani |
India |
116 |
25 |
94= |
Christ
University |
India |
116 |
-- |
96 |
Anna
University |
India |
114 |
-- |
97= |
Lebanese
American University |
Lebanon |
113 |
30 |
97= |
Macau
University of Science and Technology |
Macau
SAR |
113 |
24 |
99 |
Asia
University |
Taiwan |
112 |
17 |
100 |
École
de Technologie Supérieure |
Canada |
110 |
13 |
101= |
University
of Johannesburg |
South
Africa |
109 |
28 |
101= |
South
China University of Technology |
China |
109 |
10 |
101= |
Graphic
Era Hill University |
India |
109 |
-- |
104= |
ETH
Zürich |
Switzerland |
108 |
-- |
104= |
Carlos
Alvarez College of Business |
USA |
108 |
-- |
106= |
Delft
University of Technology |
Netherlands |
107 |
21 |
106= |
JAIN
(Deemed-to-be University) |
India |
107 |
-- |
106= |
Imperial
College London |
UK |
107 |
14 |
109= |
Università
degli Studi di Salerno |
Italy |
106 |
10 |
109= |
Sichuan
University |
China |
106 |
11 |
109= |
Carleton
University |
Canada |
106 |
20 |
109= |
Technische
Universität München |
Germany |
106 |
11 |
109= |
Tongji
University |
China |
106 |
-- |
109= |
Prince
Sattam Bin Abdulaziz University |
KSA |
106 |
20 |
115= |
Guizhou
University |
China |
105 |
-- |
115= |
Jazan
University |
KSA |
105 |
-- |
117= |
Universität
Zürich |
Switzerland
|
103 |
12 |
117= |
Università
degli Studi di Cagliari |
Italy |
103 |
-- |
119= |
Umm
Al-Qura University |
KSA |
102 |
14 |
119= |
Technische
Universität Wien |
Austria |
102 |
-- |
121= |
The
University of British Columbia |
Canada |
101 |
14 |
121= |
University
of Luxembourg |
Luxemburg |
101 |
11 |
121= |
Princess
Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University |
KSA |
101 |
16 |
124= |
International
Institute of Information Technology, Hyderabad |
India |
100 |
-- |
124= |
Università
di Pisa |
Italy |
100 |
-- |
124= |
Institute
of Computing Technology Chinese Academy of Sciences |
China |
100 |
-- |
124= |
Sharda
University |
India |
100 |
-- |
|
|
|
|
|
Search dates
Search in Keyword for blockchain
Scopus 27 February
Search in keyword plus for
blockchain
WOS 01 march